Saturday, June 27, 2009

Did I Miss Anything?

Know what sucks? The first day back after a really great vacation. That's what sucks.

I posted this under a different title last week while out of the office, but after an interview with both Magic GM Otis Smith and head coach Stan Van Gundy today, I thought I should provide an update.

To review: I was on vacation, playing golf with Tye Eastham, the television producer for Magic games on Sun Sports and Fox Sports Florida, when both of our cell phones started buzzing off the hook. Our respective spies were alerting us to the Vince Carter trade.

That night, I received several e-mails from friends asking for my thoughts on the deal. Here's what I sent back to one of them:

"This is one of the biggest hit-or-miss deals in recent memory. If we believe that Vince will play hard for Orlando for the life of his deal, it's an absolute home run. When his contract expires, the Magic will get a huge break on the salary cap [he's owed a little over $17 million in 2010-11], and they'll enjoy his 20 PPG skills in the meantime. In exchange for that, Orlando gave up a PG [Rafer Alston] that they couldn't use, a PF [Tony Battie] they didn't use, and a pretty good 2-guard [Courtney Lee], albeit a 2-guard that's theoretically not as good as VC.

HOWEVER, we all know that Vince has a rep in some circles as a sandbagger, so I don't know what to think. I WANT to think that he will play hard on what he believes to be his last big NBA contract, and that he's thrilled to be back home in Florida. But I would not be surprised to see him play quasi-hard for one year and then crap the bed because he can. Sorry, but I've been covering this league for way too long."


How's that for a ringing endorsement?

Caveats: now that I re-read that, I'll amend the statement about him playing hard for one year and not the next. He'll play very hard in his first season in Orlando because he'll be thrilled to be home and eager to fit in with his new teammates and fans. He'll play very hard in his second season because he'll be in a contract year -- the final year of the 4-year, $61.8 million extension he signed with the Nets back in 2007, and therefore his final opportunity to earn himself one more significant payday, in Orlando or elsewhere.

So the Magic get him happy and hard-working for at least two years. So far, so good.

Also: since Alston was gone regardless (no way they keep him and Jameer Nelson on the same roster), and Battie was seeing very little of the court, the trade essentially comes down to Vince Carter for Courtney Lee (with all due respect to Ryan Anderson). Tell me any circumstance under which you do not make that deal.

I loved Lee as a player, but Vince Carter today is worth more to the Magic than what Lee might turn out to be in the next two or three years.

That said, interesting take from Otis Smith today regarding Carter. There's been mutual interest between the two parties going back at least two years, just before Carter signed that extension with the Nets. Otis told me today that there's "an aura" around the 8-time All-Star, a presence that will communicate to his Orlando teammates this fall that the Magic are serious about winning right now.

Two years ago, however, that 'aura' was a deterrent. The Magic are insistent that Dwight Howard and Jameer Nelson become the emotional and spiritual leaders in that locker room, and the concern in the summer of '07 was that neither player was mature enough to develop that leadership if they had to work in the glare of Vince Carter's perpetual spotlight. So the Magic opted to sign Rashard Lewis instead -- a steady, quiet, gets-you-19-without-anyone-noticing-type player who comes in, does his job, and draws very little buzz. In other words, "a perfect personality" for the Magic as constructed in 2007, according to Smith.

Now, however, Dwight Howard has become Superman. He's been the main attraction at the last two All-Star weekends and has reached the NBA Finals. He's won a Defensive Player of the Year award, a rebounding title, and led the league in blocked shots. It's his team, and he knows it. He's developed the maturity necessary for him to assume the role of franchise leader along with Nelson, who was enjoying an All-Star caliber season himself prior to his injury.

Add that to the fact that Carter is now two years older -- and therefore two years closer to the end of (potentially) his last mega-contract -- and the timing is right, in the eyes of Otis Smith. Two years ago, Dwight and Jameer might have deferred to Carter the way they once did to Grant Hill; now, the Magic believe that Howard, Nelson, and Carter are all ready to assume their roles. In hearing Smith lay it out, the trade made quite a bit of sense.

Check sunsportstv.com for listings as we bring you a Season Recap special for the Orlando Magic in the days to come, and later this summer, we'll be replaying the 20th Anniversary special edition of "Inside The Magic" as well, with new footage from the playoffs included.

See you on TV.

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Monday, June 15, 2009

Losing Sucks.

I've got the video to prove it: My backstage tour of Amway Arena after Game 5 of the 2009 NBA Finals.

(For a now-kinda-creepy harbinger of things to come, you can also check out the video I shot at shootaround earlier that morning. Meh.)

For more backstage tours from the NBA Finals, become a fan at Facebook.com/FOXSportsFloridaSunSports.

Meanwhile: remember this?

"...lack of toughness? Maybe. But you could also call it a missing "edge," a sharpness of focus and we're-not-losing-this-game-dammit that every other serious NBA contender seems to possess. A desire -- no, wait, an instinct -- to absolutely step on their throats and not let up until the echo of the final buzzer. Great playoff teams are built on that mentality. It's not optional."

I wrote that one during the Boston series.

"...save nothing. Hold back nothing. Sell out. You may never walk this way again. This is your chance. Make this your time."

Wrote that one before the NBA Finals started. Sigh.

This Magic team was good. Really, really good. 59 wins good. Good enough to beat an admittedly depleted Boston team in the conference semifinals, and plenty good enough to handle the Cleveland Lebrons in the conference finals.

But they weren't great. LA was great.

Great teams get loose balls. They get defensive stops when they absolutely have to. They come up with crucial rebounds. Great teams don't get good breaks, they make them, with hustle and smarts and trust in one another. The Lakers did it every single night in this series; Orlando did it occasionally.

I'm still struggling to figure out what was missing from the Magic in this series. It wasn't talent, because quite frankly, Orlando stacks up against any team in the league top-to-bottom when it comes to talent. However, as Calvin Coolidge once wrote: "nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent."

What the Lakers have is the aforementioned 'edge.' They are relentless. They start coming at you at the opening bell and don't stop until you've been taken out on a stretcher.

Coolidge again: "Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent."

Who knew Cal was such a hoops fan?

LA won this series because they held their focus and their poise better than Orlando did. Stan Van Gundy brushes off the importance of 'experience,' but I don't know how else one gains those traits.

Orlando's franchise player, Dwight Howard, appeared in his 37th career playoff game on Sunday night. The Lakers' franchise player, Kobe Bryant, has made 31 career appearances in the NBA Finals alone; 175 career playoff games total. And that's not supposed to make a difference?

Say what you will about Bryant, but it's pretty clear where the rest of the Lakers find their cues when it comes to handling pressure situations. Do Jordan Farmar and Luke Walton have more 'talent' than, say, Mickael Pietrus or Marcin Gortat? Hardly.

But they have Kobe to emulate, and Phil Jackson to listen to. That's Hall of Famer Phil Jackson, whose 10th title as a head coach moved him past Red Auerbach in the NBA's record book.

If you don't think experience played an enormous factor in this series, you weren't paying attention. Or, you're Stan Van Gundy, who was doing his mortal best to deflect the weight of history away from his players, which is what a good coach should do.

Stan knows damn well that experience matters. He just refused to say it out loud. No excuses, no whining. You win or you don't.

Dwight Howard said after Game 5, "sometimes you have to lose to win."

Perhaps the experience of this loss will help Howard and the Magic develop that missing edge.

In the meantime, thanks, guys. It was a hell of a ride.

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Friday, June 12, 2009

Game 4: The Aftermath

Let's get a few things straight.

The Orlando Magic did not lose Game 4 of the 2009 NBA Finals just because Dwight Howard missed two free throws with 11.1 seconds to play in regulation, either one of which probably seals the game.

The Magic did not lose Game 4 simply because Stan Van Gundy told his players not to foul on the ensuing Laker possession -- a decision that he says will 'haunt him forever.'

They didn't lose only because Derek Fisher made the cold-bloodedest (just made that up) three-pointer of the series, with Jameer Nelson inexplicably still on the floor and inexplicably playing Fisher to drive.

Nelson's presence on the floor throughout the second half -- as opposed to, say, Rafer Alston, who was coming off the game of his life 48 hours earlier -- did not decide the game. Nor did 15 missed free throws, 17 turnovers, character, experience, savvy or 'stupidness,' as Hedo Turkoglu put it afterwards.

Sure, all of that mattered. But none of those points, alone, decided Game 4.

Game 4 was decided when the Lakers erased a 12-point halftime deficit in the first six minutes of the third quarter. Game 4 was decided when, in that six-minute span, Trevor Ariza -- a Magic castoff, and perhaps the last man in purple and gold that Orlando expected to go off -- went off.

In those six minutes, Ariza scored on a dunk, a runner, a three, a free throw, and another three. By the time Andrew Bynum sank a pair of freebies at the 5:58 mark, Los Angeles had outscored Orlando 18-5, with Ariza accounting for 11 of those 18 Laker points. Ariza's outburst was the haymaker from which Orlando never recovered.

The Magic wobbled through the rest of the quarter, allowing 30 Laker points to their own 14. From our seats in the media section of Amway Arena, it was like watching a prize fight that should have been stopped. That quarter, friends, was the difference in the game.

Dwight's free throws never should have mattered. Stan's decision, and Fisher's three, never should have mattered. The Magic, simply put, never should have been in that position.

30-14 in the third quarter. That was the game. Trevor Bleeping Ariza.

As a sidebar, I wrote in this space that Lamar Odom has been the Lakers' X-factor, but I'm prepared to amend that. While I still believe that the Magic have no answer for Odom, he's been less than deadly in the last two games of the Finals, averaging a very manageable 10 points and 3.5 rebounds in Games 3 and 4.

However, the one guy that Orlando hasn't been able to manage is Pau Gasol, who has averaged 19 points and 8 rebounds on 58% shooting in these Finals. I have to admit, I haven't seen much of Gasol up close this season, but he's much, much better than I imagined. Rashard Lewis, bless his heart, can't handle Gasol in the post; when the big Spaniard steps back, he can knock down jumpers like a 2-guard. He's tougher than I expected, has Go-Go Gadget arms on defense, and has earned at least a modicum of Kobe's trust. He's better than I thought. Expecting Ariza to blow up like that again is a stretch, but Gasol is a serious problem.

Game 5 is Sunday, and I'll once again be Tweeting live at twitter.com/sunsportsFOXFL, with a live postgame show to follow on Sun Sports. Hopefully, we won't be covering the Lakers' victory celebration. In the meantime, if you haven't already signed up to be a fan of Sun Sports / Fox Sports Florida on Facebook, you should. We've been using a Flip camera to record behind-the-scenes stuff and some video blogs from me, which have turned out much better than I expected. Check it out.

See you Sunday.

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Monday, June 08, 2009

Where Have I Seen This Before?

Let's jump into the Wayback Machine for a moment.

It's February, 2006. The Orlando Magic were flailing. The John Weisbrod Experiment had ended abruptly the previous spring, Chris Jent's legendary coaching arc had drawn to a close, and Brian Hill had been recalled from reservist duty to theoretically infuse the franchise with some level of organizational discipline.

Shortly thereafter, the '05 draft pick, Fran Vazquez, humiliated the franchise by refusing to report. Grant Hill, who was supposed to (finally) be healthy, was instead fighting his way back from surgery for a sports hernia and was playing only sporadically. Jameer Nelson hurt his foot and was out for a month. It was a springtime of meh.

In February of 2006, Otis Smith and Dave Twardzik were still listed as co-general managers of the Magic, and together they decided (correctly) to blow it up. The first move, on the 15th of that month, was to send Kelvin Cato's winning attitude and charming personality to Detroit in exchange for Darko Milicic and Carlos Arroyo. The second move was to get the hell rid of Steve Francis, who was slowly choking the life out of the franchise.

Two years prior, I had covered the Miami Heat in the NBA Playoffs for Sun Sports. That Heat team -- the team that Pat Riley had dumped into Stan Van Gundy's lap about one week before opening day -- had reached the postseason despite a 5-15 start, roaring back to beat the Hornets in the first round and take Indiana deep in the second.

It was during that assignment, following the Heat to New Orleans and Indianapolis, that I became completely enamored with Lamar Odom. And two years later, I used my remembrances of that '04 Heat playoff run as part of my plea to the Magic to get Odom as part of any Francis deal:

"Odom was the Pied Piper of the Miami locker room [during the '04 Playoffs]. His coaches adored him, so much so that they were almost afraid to talk about it, for fear of jinxing it, or letting some secret spill out. His teammates, especially rookies [Dwyane] Wade and [Udonis] Haslem, shadowed him like puppies, and Odom never led them astray. Point-forward, garbageman rebounder, three-point shooter, he did everything except sell hot dogs. Yeah, he took some dumb shots, but he also brought a Grant Hill-style sense of calm to the floor. Wade was Miami's best player, but the Heat belonged to Lamar Odom."

I was reminded of that post, and my experience with Odom that preceded it, as I watched the first two games of the 2009 NBA Finals. Odom did not go to Orlando, of course -- he's still in LA, and he's largely the reason why the Magic are down 0-2.

Note that I say "largely." Rafer Alston is 3-17 from the field in the first two games of this series, 0-8 from three. Dwight Howard has attempted only 16 shots over two games (Kobe: 56 FG attempts). The Magic shot less than 30 percent as a team in Game 1. They committed 20 turnovers in Game 2. There's plenty of reasons why the Lakers won the first two games.

However, heading into these Finals, I really believed that Odom was the X-factor. The Magic had nothing for Lamar, offensively or defensively, and I felt that if he played well, Orlando would be in trouble. So far, the numbers bear that out.

Stat: through Game 2 of the NBA Finals, Lamar Odom has the best plus/minus rating of any player in the 2009 Playoffs, including Kobe. The Lakers have outscored their opponents by 173 points in 20 games when Odom is on the floor; Kobe's plus/minus is +158.

And Odom has done it in 164 fewer minutes than Bryant -- the equivalent of three and a half fewer games.

He's not the only reason Orlando is down 0-2, but no player has been more directly tied to the Lakers' success this postseason than Lamar Odom. Reminds me a lot of Miami in 2004.

Maybe the Magic should have listened to me in 2006.

(I'm half-serious, of course. No, Orlando didn't get Odom when they dumped Francis in '06, but they did get Anfernee Hardaway's expiring contract, which helped them free up enough cap space to sign Rashard Lewis as a free agent in the summer of '07. And that's turned out okay, too -- lest we forget, Orlando *is* the other team in the 2009 NBA Finals.)

Cliche' Alert: "It's a make or miss league."

This is a new one that's cropped up during these Finals, usually coming from the mouth of ABC analyst Mark Jackson. Like all cliches, it's rooted in truth: in today's NBA, with lightning-fast video scouting capabilities, a 24/7 television and Internet news cycle, and the maddening tendency among all NBA coaches to do what every other NBA coach does, there are no secrets anymore. Everyone knows what everyone else is going to run. Sure, you can switch defenders or run a pet play a little less frequently, but there really are no curve balls. "It's a make or miss league" is another way of saying "It's all about execution," which is true -- if your stuff works, and you can stop the other guys from running their stuff, you win. Brilliant coaching moves have less and less to do with it, especially at this stage.

That said, I'm starting to hate that phrase. But I suppose it is what it is, right?

*Gack.*

Reminder: LIVE postgame coverage on Sun Sports after every NBA Finals contest, with live Twitter updates from yours truly at all of the Orlando games. Also, check out the network's Facebook page for behind-the-scenes video as the Finals come to central Florida.

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Thursday, June 04, 2009

Is This Just Final, or Final-Final? Notes On Game 1

--First and foremost: LIVE postgame coverage after every game of the NBA Finals can be found on Sun Sports. David Steele and Matt Goukas, the TV voices of the Magic who have carried you through this entire season (and many seasons before this one), will be on hand in LA for the first two games, working side-by-side with Laker announcers from Fox Sports West. Once the games return to Orlando, Paul Kennedy joins the party, and I'll be there providing what we jokingly refer to as "guerrilla video" -- behind-the-scenes stuff that we'll be posting on our Facebook page. Plus, I'll be Tweeting during the home games at twitter.com/SunSportsFOXFL. Pithy bromides are free as part of the package.

--Second and secondmost: Sun Sports / Fox Sports Florida will get two people inside Amway for Game 3. Follow the network on Twitter (again: twitter.com/SunSportsFOXFL) and pay attention for details. Hint: you need to show up at the arena for Fan Fest next Tuesday night to have a shot.

I can't say anything else -- I hear the guards coming.

--Rodney "Sid" Powell was probably the most relaxed member of the Orlando Magic's traveling party this week.

Sid has been the team's Operations Manager (basketball manager + travel agent) since just short of forever. Not much gets him rattled. When I saw Sid at the Magic's final Orlando practice on Tuesday, he told me that once the plane landed in LA, "my job is done."

It required more than 60 hotel rooms and five different hotels, but Sid successfully found a place for everybody -- players, coaches, basketball ops staff, wives, broadcasters, and members of the DeVos family, some of whom are staying in Beverly Hills for the first two games (shocker).

However, he did mention that if this series returns to Los Angeles in the 2-3-2 format, he's in a spot of trouble. The Magic's team hotel in Marina del Rey can only spare 40 rooms during the week of June 15-19 -- not enough to cover everyone.

I told him, "Guess you better win it in 5, then."

But if it does go 6 or 7, Sid will figure it out. He always does.

--Speaking of travel, I'm told that Magic GM Otis Smith brought a larger contingent of his Basketball Operations staff than usual on this trip, which is understandable on several levels. 'Basketball Ops,' for the uninitiated, refers to the group that has direct daily contact with the players: coaches, trainers, managers, physical therapists, video scouts, and the like. There's a handful of Ops guys who travel all season anyway, but apparently Otis wanted to move the entire office, as much as possible, to Los Angeles for the first two games. As a result, seats on the team charter were hard to come by. Put it this way -- David and Matt flew commercial.

Again, I have no problem with this. It's the NBA Finals. If Otis thinks that going all Pat Riley for two weeks gives his squad an edge, fine. And I guarantee you that David and Matt understand that.

--Predictably, Nick Anderson's missed free throws from Game 1 of the 1995 Finals have been a hot topic over the last 24 hours, as media outlets search for content leading up to the Magic's second-ever Finals appearance. Mike & Mike spent about five minutes on it this morning on ESPN Radio; my man Mike Bianchi wrote a largely sympathetic column on the topic as well.

One aspect of that game that has faded over the years, and received only a passing mention in Mike's column: Nick never should have been in that position in the first place. The Magic blew a 20-point lead in Game 1 of the '95 Finals. Nick took the heat, and (as Mike correctly points out in his column) was never the same player or the same person after those four free throws, but it shouldn't have come down to that. Again: Orlando was up by 20, and squandered the lead.

Remind you of anything from this year's playoff run?

--As I Tweeted last night: To summarize every national media piece on the Magic in last four days: "Umm, they're good, but we don't know why. Lakers in 6."

Best example: Ian Thomsen's article in this week's Sports Illustrated. Opening paragraph is a laundry list of what the national media perceives about the Magic; rest of the piece actually does a nice job of refuting each myth. Best line: "How did so many fail to notice the championship potential that now seems so obvious?"

However, in the print version of SI, the sidebar to the very same article predicts a Laker win. So there's that.

I have no gut feeling about this series, which is a new one for me this postseason. I thought that Orlando could beat Boston (but was honestly surprised to see them do so after going down 3-2), and once that happened, I was actually confident about the Cleveland series, based on matchups and the team's success against the Cavs this past season.

But now? I got nothin'. Maybe it's some unconscious form of repression; perhaps I know in my heart of hearts that the Lakers are the better team, and I'm refusing to commit to a pick because I can't face reality. Or, on the flip side, perhaps the mere thought of a championship parade down Orange Avenue -- an NBA Freaking Championship Parade in my hometown -- is enough to short-circuit the wiring.

Know what it feels like? It feels like I'm sitting on the bench while a teammate is in the 6th inning of a no-hitter. I'm sitting on my hands, warm-up jacket pulled up to my eyes, absolutely refusing to look at him or talk to him. And I'm ready to punch out the first rookie who walks over to the guy and says, "hey, man, you're really pitching well out there!"

Anyone remember the 2004 Tampa Bay Lightning after they won the Eastern Conference Finals over Philadelphia? The NHL suits brought out the Prince of Wales Trophy, ready to hand it over to the jubilant Lightning -- only the Lightning weren't jubilant, and they sure as hell weren't touching that trophy. In fact, Dave Andreychuk treated that thing like it was made of uranium. I think I know what they were feeling.

I know Otis Smith does. Otis told the Magic staff earlier this week that the NBA's Eastern Conference trophy will remain in a box, untouched and unseen, until the end of the NBA Finals. His reasoning: "I don't want the silver one."

In other words, he wants this:



I get it.